Abdul-Aziz Abdulvakhabov vs Gleison Tibau
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Abdul-Aziz Abdulvakhabov79%
Gleison Tibau 21%Elo baseline: 72%
The Combat Edge model makes Abdul-Aziz Abdulvakhabov a 79% favorite over Gleison Tibau in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (72%).
Abdul-Aziz Abdulvakhabov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1826 to 1661, a 165-point edge.
Abdul-Aziz Abdulvakhabov enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Abdul-Aziz Abdulvakhabov finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Gleison Tibau 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
23-2-0Record40-20-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'10"
-Reach71"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Fight Club Akhmat· 1678 avg Elo · 33 ratedTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Abdul-Aziz Abdulvakhabov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Gleison Tibau carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1835
If they lose-23→ 1803
If they win+17→ 1678
If they lose-7→ 1654
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1680 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1619 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Abdul-Aziz AbdulvakhabovGleison Tibau