Abdul-Aziz Abdulvakhabov vs Gleison Tibau

DateOct 4, 2026

DivisionWelterweight

StatusScheduled

VenueColosseum

BroadcastACA TV

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Sunday, October 4, 2026 — watch on ACA TV.

US East (ET): Sun 8:00 AM
US West (PT): Sun 5:00 AM
United Kingdom: Sun 1:00 PM
Central Europe: Sun 2:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 11:00 PM
Your time

Abdul-Aziz AbdulvakhabovLion |22-2-0Abdul-Aziz Abdulvakhabov vs Gleison TibauGleison Tibau40-19-0

Abdul-Aziz AbdulvakhabovLion22-2-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

22-2-0Record40-19-0

37Age43

5'9"Height5'10"

-Reach71"

155 lbsWeight170 lbs

WelterweightWeight ClassWelterweight

Gleison Tibau40-19-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Abdul-Aziz Abdulvakhabov owns a 144-point Elo edge (great). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Abdul-Aziz Abdulvakhabov and Gleison Tibau across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Abdul-Aziz AbdulvakhabovGleison Tibau

Recent form

Abdul-Aziz AbdulvakhabovW W W W W · +62 Elo last 5

WWWWW

Gleison TibauW W W L L · -16 Elo last 5

WWWLL

Elo edge

Abdul-Aziz Abdulvakhabov1810+17 last move

Gleison Tibau1666+7 last move

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28

84%Abdul-Aziz Abdulvakhabov16%Gleison Tibau

Model favoriteAbdul-Aziz Abdulvakhabov

Elo baseline68% for Abdul-Aziz Abdulvakhabov

Matchup adjustment+16 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Abdul-Aziz AbdulvakhabovStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Abdul-Aziz Abdulvakhabov leads the full model at 84%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 16 points.

Current Elo ratings1810 · 1666Abdul-Aziz Abdulvakhabov leads by 144 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1664 · 1590Abdul-Aziz Abdulvakhabov faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth23 · 45 fightsGleison Tibau has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Stat advantages

Abdul-Aziz AbdulvakhabovvsGleison Tibau

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Abdul-Aziz AbdulvakhabovKO/TKO leads 41% of wins

Gleison Tibaudecision leads 50% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Abdul-Aziz AbdulvakhabovGleison Tibau

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per min1.95

UFC lightweight average : 3.82

Not availableSig. strike accuracy32

UFC lightweight average : 46%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per min2.51

UFC lightweight average : 3.91

Not availableSig. strike defense63

UFC lightweight average : 53%

Not availableTakedown average4.08

UFC lightweight average : 1.69

Not availableTakedown accuracy54

UFC lightweight average : 29%

Not availableTakedown defense92

UFC lightweight average : 59%

Not availableSubmission average0.83

UFC lightweight average : 0.50

9Wins by knockout4

6Wins by submission16

7Wins by decision20

0Losses by knockout5

0Losses by submission2

2Losses by decision11

Abdul-Aziz Abdulvakhabov vs Gleison Tibau is a scheduled Welterweight fight on ACA 208 : SHAIKHAEV VS TUMENOV. Abdul-Aziz Abdulvakhabov enters with a 22-2-0 record and Gleison Tibau enters with a 40-19-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.