Abdul-Rakhman Dudaev vs Vicente Vargas
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Abdul-Rakhman Dudaev77%
Vicente Vargas 23%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Abdul-Rakhman Dudaev a 77% favorite over Vicente Vargas in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Abdul-Rakhman Dudaev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1737 to 1636, a 101-point edge.
Abdul-Rakhman Dudaev enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Vicente Vargas enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Abdul-Rakhman Dudaev finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Vicente Vargas 30%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
34-10-0Record24-9-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'5"Height5'8"
-Reach-
139 lbsWeight147 lbs
Fight Club Akhmat· 1678 avg Elo · 33 ratedTeamTeam Ludus· 1601 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
Abdul-Rakhman Dudaev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Vicente Vargas carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1746
If they lose-15→ 1722
If they win+15→ 1651
If they lose-9→ 1627
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1574 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1543 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Abdul-Rakhman DudaevVicente Vargas