Abdul-Rakhman Dudaev vs Vicente Vargas
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
34-10-0Record24-8-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'5"Height5'8"
-Reach-
139 lbsWeight147 lbs
Fight Club Akhmat· 1680 avg Elo · 29 ratedTeamTeam Ludus
What's at stake
Abdul-Rakhman Dudaev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Vicente Vargas carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1735
If they lose-15→ 1711
If they win+15→ 1660
If they lose-9→ 1636
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1564 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1520 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Abdul-Rakhman DudaevVicente Vargas
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Abdul-Rakhman Dudaev73%
Vicente Vargas 27%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Abdul-Rakhman Dudaev a 73% favorite over Vicente Vargas in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Abdul-Rakhman Dudaev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1726 to 1645, a 81-point edge.
Abdul-Rakhman Dudaev finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Vicente Vargas 30%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.