Abdul-Rakhman Dudaev vs Vicente Vargas

DateOct 4, 2026

DivisionFeatherweight

StatusScheduled

VenueColosseum

BroadcastACA TV

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Sunday, October 4, 2026 — watch on ACA TV.

US East (ET): Sun 8:00 AM
US West (PT): Sun 5:00 AM
United Kingdom: Sun 1:00 PM
Central Europe: Sun 2:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 11:00 PM
Your time

Abdul-Rakhman DudaevThe Warrior |34-10-0Abdul-Rakhman Dudaev vs Vicente VargasVicente VargasCemento |24-8-0

Abdul-Rakhman DudaevThe Warrior34-10-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

34-10-0Record24-8-0

TBDAge35

5'5"Height5'8"

-Reach-

139 lbsWeight147 lbs

FeatherweightWeight ClassFeatherweight

Vicente VargasCemento24-8-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Abdul-Rakhman Dudaev owns a 81-point Elo edge (good). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Abdul-Rakhman Dudaev and Vicente Vargas across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Abdul-Rakhman DudaevVicente Vargas

Recent form

Abdul-Rakhman DudaevW L W L W · -16 Elo last 5

WLWLW

Vicente VargasL W W L W · -8 Elo last 5

LWWLW

Elo edge

Abdul-Rakhman Dudaev1726+8 last move

Vicente Vargas1645-19 last move

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28

73%Abdul-Rakhman Dudaev27%Vicente Vargas

Model favoriteAbdul-Rakhman Dudaev

Elo baseline61% for Abdul-Rakhman Dudaev

Matchup adjustment+12 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Abdul-Rakhman DudaevStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Abdul-Rakhman Dudaev leads the full model at 73%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 12 points.

Current Elo ratings1726 · 1645Abdul-Rakhman Dudaev leads by 81 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1564 · 1520Abdul-Rakhman Dudaev faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 10 sampled fights).

Elo record depth43 · 32 fightsAbdul-Rakhman Dudaev has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Stat advantages

Abdul-Rakhman DudaevvsVicente Vargas

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Abdul-Rakhman Dudaevdecision leads 38% of wins

Vicente Vargasdecision leads 67% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Abdul-Rakhman DudaevVicente Vargas

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC featherweight average : 3.96

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC featherweight average : 46%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC featherweight average : 3.85

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC featherweight average : 54%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC featherweight average : 1.57

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC featherweight average : 31%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC featherweight average : 55%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC featherweight average : 0.63

10Wins by knockout2

11Wins by submission5

13Wins by decision16

2Losses by knockout2

0Losses by submission1

7Losses by decision5

Abdul-Rakhman Dudaev vs Vicente Vargas is a scheduled Featherweight fight on ACA 208 : SHAIKHAEV VS TUMENOV. Abdul-Rakhman Dudaev enters with a 34-10-0 record and Vicente Vargas enters with a 24-8-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.