Combat Edge Intelligence

Abdul Razak Alhassan vs César Almeida

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-7-0Record7-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height6'1"
73″Reach74"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamLotus MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Abdul Razak AlhassanNow 1634
If they win+16→ 1650
If they lose-16→ 1618
César AlmeidaNow 1628
If they win+16→ 1644
If they lose-16→ 1612

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1647 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1614 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.62
Sig. strikes / min
3.46
50%
Strike accuracy
59%
3.97
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.03
56%
Strike defense
46%
0.88
Takedown avg.
0
38%
Takedown accuracy
0%
52%
Takedown defense
52%
0.18
Submission avg.
0.21

Trajectory

Abdul Razak AlhassanCésar Almeida
160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (100%)
KO/TKO
5 (71%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

César Almeida70%
Abdul Razak Alhassan 30%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes César Almeida a 70% favorite over Abdul Razak Alhassan in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Abdul Razak Alhassan's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1634 vs 1628), separated by just 6 points.

Abdul Razak Alhassan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

César Almeida enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Abdul Razak Alhassan finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, César Almeida 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.