Abubakar Vagaev vs Jacob Malkoun
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-4-0Record10-3-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height5'9"
73"Reach73"
171 lbsWeight185 lbs
Fight Club Akhmat· 1680 avg Elo · 29 ratedTeamPMA Super Martial Arts
What's at stake
Abubakar Vagaev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Jacob Malkoun carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1778
If they lose-15→ 1754
If they win+20→ 1710
If they lose-12→ 1678
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1656 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1647 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Abubakar VagaevJacob Malkoun
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Abubakar Vagaev64%
Jacob Malkoun 36%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Abubakar Vagaev a 64% favorite over Jacob Malkoun in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Abubakar Vagaev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1769 to 1690, a 79-point edge.
Abubakar Vagaev enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Jacob Malkoun enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Abubakar Vagaev finishes 20% of wins inside the distance, Jacob Malkoun 30%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.