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Fighter comparison

Abus Magomedov vs Cam Rowston

Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.

Cam Rowston
au

Cam Rowston

“Battle Giraffe”

15-4-0MiddleweightUFC

1699Good

Combat Edge model read

Abus Magomedov64%
Cam Rowston 36%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Abus Magomedov a 64% favorite over Cam Rowston in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Abus Magomedov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1732 to 1699, a 33-point edge.

Abus Magomedov enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Abus Magomedov finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Cam Rowston 87%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Tale of the tape

30-7-1Record15-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'3"
78"Reach78"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs

What's at stake

Abus Magomedov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Cam Rowston carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Abus MagomedovNow 1732
If they win+11→ 1743
If they lose-13→ 1719
Cam RowstonNow 1699
If they win+18→ 1717
If they lose-14→ 1685

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1697 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1590 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.06
Sig. strikes / min
4.60
49%
Strike accuracy
49%
3.34
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.12
56%
Strike defense
52%
2.50
Takedown avg.
1.34
0%
Takedown accuracy
0%
100%
Takedown defense
33%
0.58
Submission avg.
0.33

Trajectory

Abus MagomedovCam Rowston
1600165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

14 (47%)
KO/TKO
7 (47%)
9 (30%)
Submission
6 (40%)
7 (23%)
Decision
2 (13%)