Combat Edge Intelligence

Abus Magomedov vs Cam Rowston

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Cam Rowston
au

Cam Rowston

“Battle Giraffe”

15-3-0MiddleweightUFC

1715Good

Tale of the tape

29-7-1Record15-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'3"
78"Reach78"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
UFD GymTeamVT1 Martial Arts Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Abus MagomedovNow 1717
If they win+12→ 1729
If they lose-12→ 1705
Cam RowstonNow 1715
If they win+16→ 1731
If they lose-16→ 1699

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1675 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1558 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.07
Sig. strikes / min
4.26
49%
Strike accuracy
47%
3.43
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.62
56%
Strike defense
52%
2.61
Takedown avg.
0.50
59%
Takedown accuracy
50%
100%
Takedown defense
33%
0.40
Submission avg.
0.50

Trajectory

Abus MagomedovCam Rowston
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

14 (48%)
KO/TKO
7 (47%)
8 (28%)
Submission
6 (40%)
7 (24%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Cam Rowston59%
Abus Magomedov 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Cam Rowston a 59% favorite over Abus Magomedov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Abus Magomedov's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1717 vs 1715), separated by just 2 points.

Cam Rowston enters on a 7-fight win streak.

Abus Magomedov finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Cam Rowston 87%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.