Abus Magomedov vs Dustin Stoltzfus
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-7-1Record16-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height5'11"
78"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
UFD GymTeamFrankers Fight Team
What's at stake
Abus Magomedov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Dustin Stoltzfus carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1727
If they lose-15→ 1703
If they win+20→ 1657
If they lose-12→ 1625
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1675 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1680 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Abus MagomedovDustin Stoltzfus
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Abus Magomedov83%
Dustin Stoltzfus 17%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Abus Magomedov a 83% favorite over Dustin Stoltzfus in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Abus Magomedov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1718 to 1637, a 81-point edge.
Dustin Stoltzfus enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Abus Magomedov finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Dustin Stoltzfus 60%.
Abus Magomedov and Dustin Stoltzfus share 1 common opponent: Brunno Ferreira.
Abus Magomedov carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.