Adam Soldaev vs Mateusz Makarowski
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-3-0Record14-7-1
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
146 lbsWeight155 lbs
WCA Fight Team· 1600 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeamWCA Fight Team· 1600 avg Elo · 8 rated
What's at stake
Adam Soldaev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Mateusz Makarowski carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1673
If they lose-19→ 1641
If they win+19→ 1619
If they lose-13→ 1587
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1573 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1496 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Adam SoldaevMateusz Makarowski
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Adam Soldaev71%
Mateusz Makarowski 29%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Adam Soldaev a 71% favorite over Mateusz Makarowski in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Adam Soldaev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1660 to 1600, a 60-point edge.
Mateusz Makarowski enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Adam Soldaev finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Mateusz Makarowski 79%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.