Adlan Ibragimov vs Sergey Starodub
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Adlan Ibragimov67%
Sergey Starodub 33%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Adlan Ibragimov a 67% favorite over Sergey Starodub in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Adlan Ibragimov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1665 to 1603, a 62-point edge.
Adlan Ibragimov finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Sergey Starodub 86%.
Adlan Ibragimov and Sergey Starodub share 1 common opponent: Evgeny Erokhin.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
10-3-0Record7-3-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'2"
-Reach-
206 lbsWeight206 lbs
Fight Club Akhmat· 1678 avg Elo · 33 ratedTeam
What's at stake
Adlan Ibragimov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Sergey Starodub carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1678
If they lose-19→ 1646
If they win+19→ 1622
If they lose-13→ 1590
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1608 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1554 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Adlan IbragimovSergey Starodub