Adlan Ibragimov vs Sergey Starodub

DateOct 4, 2026

DivisionLight Heavyweight

StatusScheduled

VenueColosseum

BroadcastACA TV

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Sunday, October 4, 2026 — watch on ACA TV.

US East (ET): Sun 8:00 AM
US West (PT): Sun 5:00 AM
United Kingdom: Sun 1:00 PM
Central Europe: Sun 2:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 11:00 PM
Your time

Adlan Ibragimov9-3-0Adlan Ibragimov vs Sergey StarodubSergey Starodub7-2-0

Adlan Ibragimov9-3-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

9-3-0Record7-2-0

37AgeTBD

6'0"Height6'2"

-Reach-

206 lbsWeight206 lbs

Light HeavyweightWeight ClassLight Heavyweight

Sergey Starodub7-2-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Adlan Ibragimov owns a 15-point Elo edge (solid). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. 1 shared opponent give extra context.

Compare Adlan Ibragimov and Sergey Starodub across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Adlan IbragimovSergey Starodub

Recent form

Adlan IbragimovL W W W L · +44 Elo last 5

LWWWL

Sergey StarodubW W W L L · +31 Elo last 5

WWWLL

Elo edge

Adlan Ibragimov1647-13 last move

Sergey Starodub1632+35 last move

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28

51%Adlan Ibragimov49%Sergey Starodub

Model favoriteAdlan Ibragimov

Elo baseline53% for Adlan Ibragimov

Matchup adjustment-2 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Adlan IbragimovStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Adlan Ibragimov leads the full model at 51%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model softens that lean by 2 points.

Current Elo ratings1647 · 1632Adlan Ibragimov leads by 15 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1594 · 1547Adlan Ibragimov faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 9 sampled fights).

Elo record depth12 · 9 fightsAdlan Ibragimov has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Stat advantages

Adlan IbragimovvsSergey Starodub

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Adlan Ibragimovdecision leads 44% of wins

Sergey Starodubsubmission leads 57% of wins

Common opponents

Evgeny ErokhinAdlan Ibragimov: win · Decision (Unanimous) · Feb 25, 2023Sergey Starodub: win · Submission (Rear Naked Choke) · Mar 27, 2026

Tale of the tape

Adlan IbragimovSergey Starodub

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC light heavyweight average : 3.99

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC light heavyweight average : 50%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC light heavyweight average : 3.74

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC light heavyweight average : 50%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC light heavyweight average : 1.37

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC light heavyweight average : 28%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC light heavyweight average : 57%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC light heavyweight average : 0.59

2Wins by knockout2

3Wins by submission4

4Wins by decision1

2Losses by knockout1

0Losses by submission0

1Losses by decision1

Adlan Ibragimov vs Sergey Starodub is a scheduled Light Heavyweight fight on ACA 208 : SHAIKHAEV VS TUMENOV. Adlan Ibragimov enters with a 9-3-0 record and Sergey Starodub enters with a 7-2-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.