Combat Edge Intelligence

Adrian Luna Martinetti vs Elijah Smith

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-2-0Record10-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'9"
71"Reach71"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Entram GymTeamTeam Victory

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Adrian Luna MartinettiNow 1717
If they win+16→ 1733
If they lose-16→ 1701
Elijah SmithNow 1718
If they win+16→ 1734
If they lose-16→ 1702

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

11
Sig. strikes / min
4.45
65%
Strike accuracy
47%
7.80
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.40
48%
Strike defense
48%
3
Takedown avg.
3.51
43%
Takedown accuracy
53%
100%
Takedown defense
57%
0
Submission avg.
0.88

Trajectory

Adrian Luna MartinettiElijah Smith
15501600165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (24%)
KO/TKO
5 (50%)
6 (35%)
Submission
2 (20%)
7 (41%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Elijah Smith51%
Adrian Luna Martinetti 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Elijah Smith a 51% favorite over Adrian Luna Martinetti in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1717 vs 1718), separated by just 1 points.

Elijah Smith enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Adrian Luna Martinetti finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Elijah Smith 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.