Adrian Yanez vs Juan Díaz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-6-1Record16-1-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
70"Reach69"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Metro Fight Club· 1598 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamEntram Gym· 1674 avg Elo · 13 rated
What's at stake
Juan Díaz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Adrian Yanez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1721
If they lose-11→ 1697
If they win+15→ 1753
If they lose-17→ 1721
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1669 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1555 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Adrian YanezJuan Díaz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Adrian Yanez56%
Juan Díaz 44%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Adrian Yanez a 56% favorite over Juan Díaz in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Juan Díaz's way (46%).
Juan Díaz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1738 to 1708, a 30-point edge.
Juan Díaz enters on a 9-fight win streak.
Adrian Yanez finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Juan Díaz 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.