Aiden Ingram vs Jose Johnson
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Jose Johnson60%
Aiden Ingram 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jose Johnson a 60% favorite over Aiden Ingram in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Aiden Ingram's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1601 vs 1600), separated by just 1 points.
Aiden Ingram enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Jose Johnson enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Aiden Ingram finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Jose Johnson 69%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
5-1-0Record16-10-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height6'0"
-Reach71"
127 lbsWeight125 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1625
If they lose-24→ 1577
If they win+12→ 1612
If they lose-12→ 1588
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1518 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1634 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Aiden IngramJose Johnson