Ailín Pérez vs Ashlee Evans-Smith
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-2-0Record6-6-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'8"
66"Reach67,5"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
The Goat Shed AcademyTeamReign MMA
What's at stake
Ailín Pérez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Ashlee Evans-Smith carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1703
If they lose-23→ 1671
If they win+23→ 1545
If they lose-9→ 1513
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1586 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1562 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ailín PérezAshlee Evans-Smith
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ailín Pérez92%
Ashlee Evans-Smith 8%Elo baseline: 73%
The Combat Edge model makes Ailín Pérez a 92% favorite over Ashlee Evans-Smith in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (73%).
Ailín Pérez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1694 to 1522, a 172-point edge.
Ailín Pérez enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Ashlee Evans-Smith enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ailín Pérez finishes 46% of wins inside the distance, Ashlee Evans-Smith 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.