Ailín Pérez vs Ashlee Evans-Smith
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-2-0Record6-6-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'8"
66"Reach67,5"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
The Goat Shed Academy· 1671 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeamReign MMA
What's at stake
Ailín Pérez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Ashlee Evans-Smith carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1718
If they lose-24→ 1686
If they win+24→ 1546
If they lose-8→ 1514
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1596 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1562 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ailín PérezAshlee Evans-Smith
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ailín Pérez85%
Ashlee Evans-Smith 15%Elo baseline: 75%
The Combat Edge model makes Ailín Pérez a 85% favorite over Ashlee Evans-Smith in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (75%).
Ailín Pérez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1710 to 1522, a 188-point edge.
Ailín Pérez enters on a 7-fight win streak.
Ashlee Evans-Smith enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ailín Pérez finishes 43% of wins inside the distance, Ashlee Evans-Smith 50%.
Ailín Pérez and Ashlee Evans-Smith share 1 common opponent: Norma Dumont.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.