Combat Edge Intelligence

Ailín Pérez vs Bia Mesquita

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-2-0Record8-0-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'2"
66"Reach66"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
The Goat Shed Academy· 1666 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ailín PérezNow 1694
If they win+16→ 1710
If they lose-16→ 1678
Bia MesquitaNow 1690
If they win+24→ 1714
If they lose-24→ 1666

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1586 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1536 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.10
Sig. strikes / min
5.78
55%
Strike accuracy
60%
1.79
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0.64
56%
Strike defense
81%
4.68
Takedown avg.
4.81
47%
Takedown accuracy
75%
67%
Takedown defense
0%
0.20
Submission avg.
3.21

Trajectory

Ailín PérezBia Mesquita
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (31%)
KO/TKO
1 (14%)
2 (15%)
Submission
6 (86%)
7 (54%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Ailín Pérez and Bia Mesquita within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1694 vs 1690), separated by just 4 points.

Ailín Pérez enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Bia Mesquita enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Ailín Pérez finishes 46% of wins inside the distance, Bia Mesquita 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.