Ailín Pérez vs Karol Rosa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-2-0Record19-8-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'7"
66"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
The Goat Shed Academy· 1671 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeamParana Vale Tudo· 1663 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
Ailín Pérez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Karol Rosa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1723
If they lose-19→ 1691
If they win+14→ 1661
If they lose-10→ 1637
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1596 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1633 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ailín PérezKarol Rosa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ailín Pérez55%
Karol Rosa 45%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Ailín Pérez a 55% favorite over Karol Rosa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Ailín Pérez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1710 to 1647, a 63-point edge.
Ailín Pérez enters on a 7-fight win streak.
Ailín Pérez finishes 43% of wins inside the distance, Karol Rosa 32%.
Ailín Pérez and Karol Rosa share 1 common opponent: Norma Dumont.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.