Combat Edge Intelligence

AJ Dobson vs Armen Petrosyan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-3-0Record10-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'2"
76"Reach71"
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
Strong Style Fight TeamTeamAcademy MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

AJ DobsonNow 1598
If they win+15→ 1613
If they lose-17→ 1581
Armen PetrosyanNow 1587
If they win+17→ 1604
If they lose-15→ 1572

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1645 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.29
Sig. strikes / min
5.84
46%
Strike accuracy
53%
5.31
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.31
46%
Strike defense
53%
1.67
Takedown avg.
0.17
75%
Takedown accuracy
0%
65%
Takedown defense
41%
0.28
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

AJ DobsonArmen Petrosyan
1600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (43%)
KO/TKO
7 (70%)
2 (29%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (29%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

AJ Dobson60%
Armen Petrosyan 40%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes AJ Dobson a 60% favorite over Armen Petrosyan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1598 vs 1587), separated by just 11 points.

Armen Petrosyan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

AJ Dobson finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Armen Petrosyan 70%.

AJ Dobson carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.