AJ Dobson vs Armen Petrosyan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-3-0Record9-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'2"
76"Reach71"
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
Strong Style Fight TeamTeamAcademy MMA
What's at stake
Armen Petrosyan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — AJ Dobson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1615
If they lose-15→ 1583
If they win+15→ 1628
If they lose-17→ 1596
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1650 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
AJ DobsonArmen Petrosyan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
AJ Dobson63%
Armen Petrosyan 37%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes AJ Dobson a 63% favorite over Armen Petrosyan in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Armen Petrosyan's way (48%).
Armen Petrosyan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1613 to 1598, a 15-point edge.
Armen Petrosyan enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
AJ Dobson finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Armen Petrosyan 67%.
AJ Dobson carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.