Alex Apodaca vs Chelsea Chandler
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-1-0Record7-4-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'8"
71"Reach68"
136 lbsWeight137 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1602
If they lose-24→ 1554
If they win+16→ 1600
If they lose-16→ 1568
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1520 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1570 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alex ApodacaChelsea Chandler
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alex Apodaca71%
Chelsea Chandler 29%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Alex Apodaca a 71% favorite over Chelsea Chandler in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chelsea Chandler's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1578 vs 1584), separated by just 6 points.
Alex Apodaca enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Alex Apodaca finishes 0% of wins inside the distance, Chelsea Chandler 57%.
Alex Apodaca carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.