Alex Pereira vs Denis Goltsov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-4-0Record37-9-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'5"
79"Reach78"
205 lbsWeight248 lbs
Teixeira MMA & Fitness· 1664 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamSambo Piter
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1803
If they lose-16→ 1771
If they win+12→ 1799
If they lose-12→ 1775
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1804 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1655 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alex PereiraDenis Goltsov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Denis Goltsov60%
Alex Pereira 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Denis Goltsov a 60% favorite over Alex Pereira in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alex Pereira's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1787 vs 1787), separated by just 0 points.
Alex Pereira finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Denis Goltsov 84%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.