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Combat Edge Intelligence

Alex Polizzi vs Gilbert Urbina

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

11-7-0Record8-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'3"
TBDReach75"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamBMF Ranch

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alex PolizziNow 1597
If they win+16→ 1613
If they lose-16→ 1581
Gilbert UrbinaNow 1597
If they win+16→ 1613
If they lose-16→ 1581

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1616 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1588 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
6.68
Not available
Strike accuracy
58%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.72
Not available
Strike defense
48%
Not available
Takedown avg.
2.73
Not available
Takedown accuracy
22%
Not available
Takedown defense
0%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.68

Trajectory

Alex PolizziGilbert Urbina
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (36%)
KO/TKO
3 (38%)
4 (36%)
Submission
2 (25%)
3 (27%)
Decision
3 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Alex Polizzi60%
Gilbert Urbina 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alex Polizzi a 60% favorite over Gilbert Urbina in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1597 vs 1597), separated by just 0 points.

Alex Polizzi enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Alex Polizzi finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Gilbert Urbina 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.