Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexa Grasso vs Manon Fiorot

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

17-5-1Record13-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'7"
66"Reach65"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Lobo Gym MMA· 1703 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamBoxing Squad· 1708 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

Manon Fiorot is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Alexa Grasso carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alexa GrassoNow 1715
If they win+18→ 1733
If they lose-14→ 1701
Manon FiorotNow 1754
If they win+14→ 1768
If they lose-18→ 1736

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1715 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1670 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.11
Sig. strikes / min
4.61
41%
Strike accuracy
53%
3.71
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.26
59%
Strike defense
50%
0.40
Takedown avg.
1.29
6%
Takedown accuracy
3%
55%
Takedown defense
62%
0.67
Submission avg.
0.55

Trajectory

Alexa GrassoManon Fiorot
170017502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (29%)
KO/TKO
7 (54%)
2 (12%)
Submission
0 (0%)
10 (59%)
Decision
6 (46%)

Combat Edge model read

Manon Fiorot52%
Alexa Grasso 48%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Manon Fiorot a 52% favorite over Alexa Grasso in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Manon Fiorot holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1754 to 1715, a 39-point edge.

Alexa Grasso finishes 41% of wins inside the distance, Manon Fiorot 54%.

Alexa Grasso and Manon Fiorot share 1 common opponent: Valentina Shevchenko.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision (unanimous) · 2024
DrawDraw (split) · 2023
WinSubmission (Rear Naked Choke) · 2023
Valentina Shevchenko
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2025