Alexa Grasso vs Manon Fiorot
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Alexa Grasso and Manon Fiorot within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1732 vs 1735), separated by just 3 points.
Alexa Grasso enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Alexa Grasso finishes 39% of wins inside the distance, Manon Fiorot 54%.
Alexa Grasso and Manon Fiorot share 1 common opponent: Valentina Shevchenko.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
18-5-1Record13-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'7"
66"Reach65"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Lobo Gym MMA· 1725 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamBoxing Squad· 1630 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1748
If they lose-16→ 1716
If they win+16→ 1751
If they lose-16→ 1719
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1728 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1691 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alexa GrassoManon Fiorot
Win method breakdown
Common opponents (1)
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2024
DrawDraw (split) · 2023
WinSubmission (Rear Naked Choke) · 2023
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2025