Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexa Grasso vs Randa Markos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Randa Markos
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Randa Markos

“Quiet Storm”

11-11-1StrawweightUFC

1557Solid

Tale of the tape

17-5-1Record11-11-1
FlyweightDivisionStrawweight
5'5"Height5'5"
66"ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight115 lbs
Lobo Gym MMATeamMichigan Top Team

What's at stake

Alexa Grasso is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Randa Markos carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alexa GrassoNow 1715
If they win+9→ 1724
If they lose-23→ 1692
Randa MarkosNow 1557
If they win+23→ 1580
If they lose-9→ 1548

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1715 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1634 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.11
Sig. strikes / min
2.97
41%
Strike accuracy
44%
3.73
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.10
58%
Strike defense
59%
0.41
Takedown avg.
1.12
35%
Takedown accuracy
29%
55%
Takedown defense
53%
0.61
Submission avg.
0.20

Trajectory

Alexa GrassoRanda Markos
15501600165017002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (29%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
2 (12%)
Submission
4 (36%)
10 (59%)
Decision
7 (64%)

Combat Edge model read

Alexa Grasso88%
Randa Markos 12%Elo baseline: 71%

The Combat Edge model makes Alexa Grasso a 88% favorite over Randa Markos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).

Alexa Grasso holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1715 to 1557, a 158-point edge.

Alexa Grasso finishes 41% of wins inside the distance, Randa Markos 36%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.