Alexander Hernandez vs Axel Sola
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-9-0Record13-1-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height6'0"
72"Reach74"
148 lbsWeight154 lbs
Factory XTeamBoxing Squad· 1645 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1743
If they lose-12→ 1719
If they win+16→ 1743
If they lose-16→ 1711
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1709 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1579 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alexander HernandezAxel Sola
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alexander Hernandez56%
Axel Sola 44%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Alexander Hernandez a 56% favorite over Axel Sola in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1731 vs 1727), separated by just 4 points.
Axel Sola enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Alexander Hernandez finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Axel Sola 69%.
Axel Sola carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.