Alexander Hernandez vs Beneil Dariush
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-9-0Record23-8-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
72"Reach72"
148 lbsWeight155 lbs
Factory XTeamKings MMA· 1670 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
Beneil Dariush is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Alexander Hernandez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1744
If they lose-11→ 1720
If they win+11→ 1757
If they lose-13→ 1733
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1709 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1764 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alexander HernandezBeneil Dariush
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alexander Hernandez59%
Beneil Dariush 41%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Alexander Hernandez a 59% favorite over Beneil Dariush in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Beneil Dariush's way (48%).
Beneil Dariush holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1746 to 1731, a 15-point edge.
Beneil Dariush enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Alexander Hernandez finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Beneil Dariush 57%.
Alexander Hernandez and Beneil Dariush share 1 common opponent: Diego Ferreira.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.