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Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexander Hernandez vs George Staines

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

18-9-0Record10-0-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height6'1"
72"Reach-
148 lbsWeight156 lbs
Factory XTeamHit Squad Hull

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexander HernandezNow 1717
If they win+12→ 1729
If they lose-12→ 1705
George StainesNow 1716
If they win+16→ 1732
If they lose-16→ 1700

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1705 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1543 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.23
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
40%
Strike accuracy
Not available
4.45
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
60%
Strike defense
Not available
1.05
Takedown avg.
Not available
11%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
69%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.08
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Alexander HernandezGeorge Staines
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (44%)
KO/TKO
1 (10%)
2 (11%)
Submission
3 (30%)
8 (44%)
Decision
6 (60%)

Combat Edge model read

Alexander Hernandez66%
George Staines 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alexander Hernandez a 66% favorite over George Staines in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1717 vs 1716), separated by just 1 points.

George Staines enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Alexander Hernandez finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, George Staines 40%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.