Alexander Hernandez vs Renato Moicano
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-9-0Record21-7-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'11"
72"Reach72″
148 lbsWeight156 lbs
Factory XTeamFirst Fight Center
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1743
If they lose-12→ 1719
If they win+12→ 1755
If they lose-12→ 1731
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1709 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1736 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alexander HernandezRenato Moicano
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Renato Moicano53%
Alexander Hernandez 47%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Renato Moicano a 53% favorite over Alexander Hernandez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1731 vs 1743), separated by just 12 points.
Alexander Hernandez finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Renato Moicano 62%.
Alexander Hernandez and Renato Moicano share 1 common opponent: Rafael dos Anjos.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.