Alexander Munoz vs Carl Deaton
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-2-0Record17-7-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'6"
72.00Reach69,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team Alpha Male· 1646 avg Elo · 22 ratedTeamThe Academy MN
What's at stake
Carl Deaton is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Alexander Munoz carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+29→ 1538
If they lose-19→ 1490
If they win+9→ 1592
If they lose-15→ 1568
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1652 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alexander MunozCarl Deaton
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Alexander Munoz and Carl Deaton within a point of even.
Carl Deaton holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1583 to 1509, a 74-point edge.
Carl Deaton enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Alexander Munoz finishes 43% of wins inside the distance, Carl Deaton 71%.
Alexander Munoz carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.