Alexandre Pantoja vs Ulka Sasaki
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
30-6-0Record24-10-2
FlyweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'5"Height5'10"
67"Reach71.00
125 lbsWeight145 lbs
American Top TeamTeamSerra-Longo Fight Team
What's at stake
Alexandre Pantoja is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +4 while a loss costs more — Ulka Sasaki carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+4→ 1812
If they lose-20→ 1788
If they win+26→ 1571
If they lose-6→ 1539
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1713 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1644 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alexandre PantojaUlka Sasaki
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alexandre Pantoja88%
Ulka Sasaki 12%Elo baseline: 82%
The Combat Edge model makes Alexandre Pantoja a 88% favorite over Ulka Sasaki in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (82%).
Alexandre Pantoja holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1808 to 1545, a 263-point edge.
Ulka Sasaki enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Alexandre Pantoja finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Ulka Sasaki 58%.
Alexandre Pantoja and Ulka Sasaki share 2 common opponents: Kai Asakura and Manel Kape.
Ulka Sasaki carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.