Alexandre Pantoja vs Ulka Sasaki
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
30-7-0Record24-10-2
FlyweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'5"Height5'10"
67"Reach71.00
125 lbsWeight145 lbs
American Top TeamTeamSerra-Longo Fight Team· 1771 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
Alexandre Pantoja is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +5 while a loss costs more — Ulka Sasaki carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+5→ 1801
If they lose-19→ 1777
If they win+26→ 1571
If they lose-6→ 1539
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1722 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1645 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alexandre PantojaUlka Sasaki
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alexandre Pantoja84%
Ulka Sasaki 16%Elo baseline: 81%
The Combat Edge model makes Alexandre Pantoja a 84% favorite over Ulka Sasaki in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (81%).
Alexandre Pantoja holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1796 to 1545, a 251-point edge.
Alexandre Pantoja enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ulka Sasaki enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Alexandre Pantoja finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Ulka Sasaki 58%.
Alexandre Pantoja and Ulka Sasaki share 2 common opponents: Kai Asakura and Manel Kape.
Ulka Sasaki carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.