Alexandre Pantoja vs Ulka Sasaki

Nov 18, 2018 · ESPN+

DateNov 18, 2018

DivisionFlyweight

StatusScheduled

VenueArena Parque Roca

BroadcastESPN+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Sunday, November 18, 2018 — watch on ESPN+.

US East (ET): Sun 9:00 PM
US West (PT): Sun 6:00 PM
United Kingdom: Mon 2:00 AM
Central Europe: Mon 3:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Mon 1:00 PM
Your time

Alexandre PantojaThe Cannibal |30-7-0Alexandre Pantoja vs Ulka SasakiUlka SasakiUlka |24-10-2

Alexandre PantojaThe Cannibal30-7-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

30-7-0Record24-10-2

36Age37

5'5"Height5'10"

67"Reach71.00

125 lbsWeight145 lbs

FlyweightWeight ClassFlyweight

Ulka SasakiUlka24-10-2

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Alexandre Pantoja owns a 251-point Elo edge (great). Neither side shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Alexandre Pantoja and Ulka Sasaki across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Alexandre PantojaUlka Sasaki

Recent form

Alexandre PantojaL L W W W · +13 Elo last 5

LLWWW

Ulka SasakiL L W L W · +17 Elo last 5

LLWLW

Elo edge

Alexandre Pantoja1796-12 last move

Ulka Sasaki1545-13 last move

Why they are ranked here

Alexandre Pantoja#4 of 212 active Flyweight fighters · 1796 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Alex Perez (rated 1727 at the time): +19.
Costliest loss: Lost to Joshua Van (rated 1757 at the time): -17.
Last 5 fights: 3 wins, 2 losses, +13 Elo in total.
Next places: 8 points behind #3 Kyoji Horiguchi, 4 ahead of #5 Tatsuro Taira.

Ulka SasakiNot on the active ladder · 1545 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Jenel Lausa (rated 1591 at the time): +34.
Costliest loss: Lost to Taylor Lapilus (rated 1555 at the time): -27.
Last 5 fights: 2 wins, 3 losses, +17 Elo in total.
Inactivity: Placed on 1455, not 1545: 90 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Alexandre PantojaNow 1796 · #4 Flyweight

Wins by decision+5→ 1801

Loses by decision-19→ 1777

Ulka SasakiNow 1545

Wins by decision+26→ 1571

Loses by decision-6→ 1539

What-if simulatorPremium

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Alexandre PantojavsUlka Sasaki

Takedown accuracy

3%vs43%

Sig. strikes landed per min

4.54vs2.16

Sig. strikes absorbed per min

4.23vs2.50

Takedown defense

69%vs41%

Finishing profile

Alexandre Pantojasubmission leads 40% of wins

Ulka Sasakisubmission leads 50% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Alexandre PantojaUlka Sasaki

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.54Sig. strikes landed per min2.16

UFC flyweight average : 3.95

51Sig. strike accuracy41

UFC flyweight average : 44%

4.23Sig. strikes absorbed per min2.50

UFC flyweight average : 3.88

48Sig. strike defense50

UFC flyweight average : 55%

2.82Takedown average3.03

UFC flyweight average : 1.44

3Takedown accuracy43

UFC flyweight average : 26%

69Takedown defense41

UFC flyweight average : 57%

0.88Submission average1.16

UFC flyweight average : 0.61

8Wins by knockout2

12Wins by submission12

10Wins by decision10

1Losses by knockout2

0Losses by submission5

6Losses by decision3

Alexandre Pantoja vs Ulka Sasaki is a scheduled Flyweight fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : MAGNY VS PONZINIBBIO. Alexandre Pantoja enters with a 30-7-0 record and Ulka Sasaki enters with a 24-10-2 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.