Alexia Thainara vs Amanda Lemos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-1-0Record15-7-1
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'4"
67"Reach65"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
What's at stake
Alexia Thainara is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Amanda Lemos carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1759
If they lose-19→ 1727
If they win+19→ 1689
If they lose-13→ 1657
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1553 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1716 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alexia ThainaraAmanda Lemos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alexia Thainara63%
Amanda Lemos 37%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Alexia Thainara a 63% favorite over Amanda Lemos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Alexia Thainara holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1746 to 1670, a 76-point edge.
Alexia Thainara enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Amanda Lemos enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Alexia Thainara finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Amanda Lemos 73%.
Alexia Thainara carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.