Alexia Thainara vs Amanda Lemos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-1-0Record15-6-1
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'4"
67"Reach65"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Ribas FamilyTeamMarajo Brothers Team
What's at stake
Alexia Thainara is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Amanda Lemos carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1746
If they lose-18→ 1714
If they win+18→ 1702
If they lose-14→ 1670
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1535 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1703 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alexia ThainaraAmanda Lemos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alexia Thainara71%
Amanda Lemos 29%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Alexia Thainara a 71% favorite over Amanda Lemos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Alexia Thainara holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1732 to 1684, a 48-point edge.
Alexia Thainara enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Amanda Lemos enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Alexia Thainara finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Amanda Lemos 73%.
Alexia Thainara carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.