Alexia Thainara vs Molly McCann
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-1-0Record14-8-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'4"
67"Reach62"
115 lbsWeight116 lbs
Ribas FamilyTeamNext Generation MMA Liverpool
What's at stake
Alexia Thainara is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Molly McCann carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1742
If they lose-22→ 1710
If they win+22→ 1618
If they lose-10→ 1586
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1535 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1605 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alexia ThainaraMolly McCann
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alexia Thainara92%
Molly McCann 8%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Alexia Thainara a 92% favorite over Molly McCann in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Alexia Thainara holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1732 to 1596, a 136-point edge.
Alexia Thainara enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Molly McCann enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Alexia Thainara finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Molly McCann 50%.
Alexia Thainara and Molly McCann share 1 common opponent: Bruna Brasil.
Alexia Thainara carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.