Alexia Thainara vs Tatiana Suarez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-1-0Record12-1-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'5"
67"Reach66"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+17→ 1763
If they lose-15→ 1731
If they win+15→ 1775
If they lose-17→ 1743
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1553 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1652 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alexia ThainaraTatiana Suarez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alexia Thainara56%
Tatiana Suarez 44%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Alexia Thainara a 56% favorite over Tatiana Suarez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tatiana Suarez's way (48%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1746 vs 1760), separated by just 14 points.
Alexia Thainara enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Tatiana Suarez enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Alexia Thainara finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Tatiana Suarez 67%.
Alexia Thainara and Tatiana Suarez share 1 common opponent: Amanda Lemos.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.