Alexis Tsarmantidis vs Giuseppe Mastrogiacomo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-2-0Record9-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
145 lbsWeight146 lbs
Diversity teamTeamAurora MMA· 1573 avg Elo · 10 rated
What's at stake
Giuseppe Mastrogiacomo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Alexis Tsarmantidis carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+26→ 1646
If they lose-22→ 1598
If they win+15→ 1664
If they lose-17→ 1632
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1524 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1502 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alexis TsarmantidisGiuseppe Mastrogiacomo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alexis Tsarmantidis51%
Giuseppe Mastrogiacomo 49%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Alexis Tsarmantidis a 51% favorite over Giuseppe Mastrogiacomo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Giuseppe Mastrogiacomo's way (46%).
Giuseppe Mastrogiacomo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1649 to 1620, a 29-point edge.
Alexis Tsarmantidis enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Giuseppe Mastrogiacomo enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Alexis Tsarmantidis finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Giuseppe Mastrogiacomo 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.