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CAGE WARRIORS 211 ROME : BELLANDI VS VALENTE

Giuseppe Mastrogiacomo vs Alexis Tsarmantidis

DateOct 17, 2026
StatusScheduled
VenuePalapellicone
BroadcastUFC Fight Pass
Start times & how to watch
Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, October 17, 2026 — watch on UFC Fight Pass.

US East (ET)
Sat 12:00 PM
US West (PT)
Sat 9:00 AM
United Kingdom
Sat 5:00 PM
Central Europe
Sat 6:00 PM
Australia (Sydney)
Sun 3:00 AM
Giuseppe MastrogiacomoThe Demon |9-1-0Giuseppe Mastrogiacomo vs Alexis TsarmantidisAlexis TsarmantidisZeus |7-2-0
itGiuseppe MastrogiacomoThe Demon9-1-0Giuseppe Mastrogiacomo
Elo1649Solid
3Y trend1529 → 1649
2023-04-15: 15292023-05-13: 15552023-07-08: 15752023-10-28: 15982024-07-25: 16192024-11-02: 16352025-03-08: 15992025-05-31: 16172025-11-21: 16342026-04-11: 1649
it

Fight Overview

RoundTBD
TimeTBD
9-1-0Record7-2-0
TBDAge28
5'9"Height5'6"
TBDReachTBD
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
FeatherweightWeight ClassFeatherweight
cyAlexis TsarmantidisZeus7-2-0cyAlexis Tsarmantidis
Elo1620Solid
3Y trend1500 → 1620
2023-06-17: 15002023-12-03: 15292024-05-25: 15512024-12-01: 15752025-04-26: 15472025-09-13: 15712025-12-14: 15922026-03-14: 1620
Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Giuseppe Mastrogiacomo owns a 29-point Elo edge (solid). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Giuseppe Mastrogiacomo and Alexis Tsarmantidis across their careers →

Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Giuseppe MastrogiacomoAlexis Tsarmantidis
1500155016001650202420252026

Recent form

Giuseppe MastrogiacomoW W W L W · +28 Elo last 5
WWWLW
Alexis TsarmantidisW W W L W · +69 Elo last 5
WWWLW

Elo edge

Giuseppe Mastrogiacomo1649+14 last move
Alexis Tsarmantidis1620+27 last move
Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28
47%Giuseppe Mastrogiacomo53%Alexis Tsarmantidis
Model favoriteAlexis Tsarmantidis
Elo baseline46% for Alexis Tsarmantidis
Matchup adjustment+7 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Alexis TsarmantidisStake

Sponsored — betting partner link. 19+ (18+ where permitted). Please play responsibly.

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model flips Elo

The full model flips the Elo-only lean: Alexis Tsarmantidis is 53%, after Elo alone favored Giuseppe Mastrogiacomo at 54%.

Current Elo ratings1649 · 1620Giuseppe Mastrogiacomo leads by 29 rating points.
Recent opponent quality1502 · 1524Alexis Tsarmantidis faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 9 sampled fights).
Elo record depth10 · 9 fightsGiuseppe Mastrogiacomo has the deeper counted Elo history.
Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.
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Stat advantages

Giuseppe MastrogiacomovsAlexis Tsarmantidis

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Giuseppe MastrogiacomoKO/TKO leads 44% of wins
Alexis TsarmantidisKO/TKO leads 43% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Giuseppe MastrogiacomoAlexis Tsarmantidis

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available
UFC featherweight average : 3.96
Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available
UFC featherweight average : 46%
Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available
UFC featherweight average : 3.85
Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available
UFC featherweight average : 54%
Not availableTakedown averageNot available
UFC featherweight average : 1.57
Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available
UFC featherweight average : 31%
Not availableTakedown defenseNot available
UFC featherweight average : 55%
Not availableSubmission averageNot available
UFC featherweight average : 0.63
4Wins by knockout3
2Wins by submission2
3Wins by decision2
0Losses by knockout1
1Losses by submission1
0Losses by decision0

Giuseppe Mastrogiacomo vs Alexis Tsarmantidis is a scheduled Featherweight fight on CAGE WARRIORS 211 ROME : BELLANDI VS VALENTE. Giuseppe Mastrogiacomo enters with a 9-1-0 record and Alexis Tsarmantidis enters with a 7-2-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.

Giuseppe Mastrogiacomo vs Alexis Tsarmantidis quick answers

When is Giuseppe Mastrogiacomo vs Alexis Tsarmantidis?

Giuseppe Mastrogiacomo vs Alexis Tsarmantidis is listed for CAGE WARRIORS 211 ROME : BELLANDI VS VALENTE on Oct 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM EST.

What event is Giuseppe Mastrogiacomo vs Alexis Tsarmantidis on?

Giuseppe Mastrogiacomo vs Alexis Tsarmantidis is listed on CAGE WARRIORS 211 ROME : BELLANDI VS VALENTE.

What are the records for Giuseppe Mastrogiacomo vs Alexis Tsarmantidis?

Giuseppe Mastrogiacomo enters with a 9-1-0 record and Alexis Tsarmantidis enters with a 7-2-0 record.

What division is Giuseppe Mastrogiacomo vs Alexis Tsarmantidis?

Giuseppe Mastrogiacomo vs Alexis Tsarmantidis is listed as a Featherweight fight.

Full fight card
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