Combat Edge Intelligence

Alice Ardelean vs Cynthia Calvillo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-7-0Record10-6-1
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'3"Height5'4"
62" Reach64"
125 lbsWeight119 lbs
Fearless MMATeamTiger Muay Thai

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alice ArdeleanNow 1591
If they win+16→ 1607
If they lose-16→ 1575
Cynthia CalvilloNow 1589
If they win+16→ 1605
If they lose-16→ 1573

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1542 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1637 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

7.35
Sig. strikes / min
4.41
46%
Strike accuracy
38%
5.20
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.12
62%
Strike defense
64%
1
Takedown avg.
1.80
44%
Takedown accuracy
44%
86%
Takedown defense
78%
0
Submission avg.
0.81

Trajectory

Alice ArdeleanCynthia Calvillo
15501600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (33%)
KO/TKO
2 (20%)
5 (42%)
Submission
3 (30%)
3 (25%)
Decision
5 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Alice Ardelean67%
Cynthia Calvillo 33%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alice Ardelean a 67% favorite over Cynthia Calvillo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1591 vs 1589), separated by just 2 points.

Alice Ardelean enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Alice Ardelean finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Cynthia Calvillo 50%.

Cynthia Calvillo carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.