Alonzo Menifield vs Askar Mozharov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-6-1Record15-14-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'3"
76"Reach74"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Saekson Muay ThaiTeamAKA Thailand
What's at stake
Alonzo Menifield is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +5 while a loss costs more — Askar Mozharov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+5→ 1735
If they lose-19→ 1711
If they win+19→ 1517
If they lose-5→ 1493
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1698 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alonzo MenifieldAskar Mozharov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alonzo Menifield83%
Askar Mozharov 17%Elo baseline: 79%
The Combat Edge model makes Alonzo Menifield a 83% favorite over Askar Mozharov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (79%).
Alonzo Menifield holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1730 to 1498, a 232-point edge.
Alonzo Menifield finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Askar Mozharov 93%.
Alonzo Menifield and Askar Mozharov share 1 common opponent: Mingyang Zhang.
Alonzo Menifield carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.