Combat Edge Intelligence

Alonzo Menifield vs Iwo Baraniewski

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-6-1Record9-0-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'0"
76"Reach73"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alonzo MenifieldNow 1730
If they win+12→ 1742
If they lose-12→ 1718
Iwo BaraniewskiNow 1716
If they win+25→ 1741
If they lose-23→ 1693

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1698 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.84
Sig. strikes / min
11.35
53%
Strike accuracy
58%
3.81
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
8.65
51%
Strike defense
53%
0.48
Takedown avg.
0
0%
Takedown accuracy
0%
78%
Takedown defense
100%
0.19
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alonzo MenifieldIwo Baraniewski
16001700202420252026

Win method breakdown

11 (61%)
KO/TKO
7 (78%)
3 (17%)
Submission
2 (22%)
4 (22%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Iwo Baraniewski53%
Alonzo Menifield 47%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Iwo Baraniewski a 53% favorite over Alonzo Menifield in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alonzo Menifield's way (48%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1730 vs 1716), separated by just 14 points.

Iwo Baraniewski enters on a 9-fight win streak.

Alonzo Menifield finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Iwo Baraniewski 100%.

Alonzo Menifield carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.