Alonzo Menifield vs Mingyang Zhang
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-6-1Record19-8-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'2"
76"Reach75"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Saekson Muay ThaiTeamQingdao Xinjiang International Fight Club
What's at stake
Alonzo Menifield is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Mingyang Zhang carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1739
If they lose-15→ 1715
If they win+15→ 1671
If they lose-9→ 1647
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1698 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1571 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alonzo MenifieldMingyang Zhang
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alonzo Menifield67%
Mingyang Zhang 33%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Alonzo Menifield a 67% favorite over Mingyang Zhang in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Alonzo Menifield holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1730 to 1656, a 74-point edge.
Mingyang Zhang enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Alonzo Menifield finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Mingyang Zhang 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.