Combat Edge Intelligence

Amanda Lemos vs Talita Alencar

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-7-1Record8-1-1
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'1"
65"Reach58"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Amanda LemosNow 1670
If they win+16→ 1686
If they lose-16→ 1654
Talita AlencarNow 1668
If they win+16→ 1684
If they lose-16→ 1652

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1716 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1550 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.75
Sig. strikes / min
2.91
55%
Strike accuracy
38%
3.01
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.36
45%
Strike defense
56%
1.02
Takedown avg.
3.02
6%
Takedown accuracy
27%
63%
Takedown defense
67%
0.74
Submission avg.
0.60

Trajectory

Amanda LemosTalita Alencar
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (53%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
3 (20%)
Submission
4 (50%)
4 (27%)
Decision
4 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Talita Alencar57%
Amanda Lemos 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Talita Alencar a 57% favorite over Amanda Lemos in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Amanda Lemos's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1670 vs 1668), separated by just 2 points.

Amanda Lemos enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Talita Alencar enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Amanda Lemos finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Talita Alencar 50%.

Amanda Lemos carries a 7-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.