Combat Edge Intelligence

Amanda Ribas vs Rose Namajunas

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-7-0Record14-8-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'5"
66"Reach65"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Marcelo Ribas TeamTeam303 Training Center

What's at stake

Rose Namajunas is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Amanda Ribas carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Amanda RibasNow 1616
If they win+20→ 1636
If they lose-12→ 1604
Rose NamajunasNow 1695
If they win+12→ 1707
If they lose-20→ 1675

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1677 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1718 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.26
Sig. strikes / min
3.60
40%
Strike accuracy
42%
3.29
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.38
60%
Strike defense
64%
2.05
Takedown avg.
1.49
5%
Takedown accuracy
51%
82%
Takedown defense
63%
0.56
Submission avg.
0.37

Trajectory

Amanda RibasRose Namajunas
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (25%)
KO/TKO
2 (14%)
4 (33%)
Submission
5 (36%)
5 (42%)
Decision
7 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Rose Namajunas73%
Amanda Ribas 27%Elo baseline: 61%

The Combat Edge model makes Rose Namajunas a 73% favorite over Amanda Ribas in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).

Rose Namajunas holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1695 to 1616, a 79-point edge.

Amanda Ribas enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Amanda Ribas finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Rose Namajunas 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.