Anderson Silva vs Israel Adesanya
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
34-11-0Record24-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'4"
77"Reach80"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team Nogueira· 1598 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamCity Kickboxing
What's at stake
Israel Adesanya is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Anderson Silva carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1702
If they lose-9→ 1678
If they win+9→ 1770
If they lose-15→ 1746
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1680 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1744 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Anderson SilvaIsrael Adesanya
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Israel Adesanya78%
Anderson Silva 22%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Israel Adesanya a 78% favorite over Anderson Silva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Israel Adesanya holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1761 to 1687, a 74-point edge.
Anderson Silva enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Israel Adesanya enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Anderson Silva finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Israel Adesanya 67%.
Anderson Silva and Israel Adesanya share 1 common opponent: Jared Cannonier.
Israel Adesanya carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.