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Combat Edge Intelligence

Andrea Kabali vs Eric Nolan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Eric Nolan
us

Eric Nolan

“Night Time”

9-5-0MiddleweightUFC

1562Solid

Tale of the tape

4-1-0Record9-5-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height5'11"
-Reach74"
169 lbsWeight185 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Andrea KabaliNow 1561
If they win+24→ 1585
If they lose-24→ 1537
Eric NolanNow 1562
If they win+16→ 1578
If they lose-16→ 1546

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1499 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1544 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
1.68
Not available
Strike accuracy
35%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.59
Not available
Strike defense
45%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0
Not available
Takedown accuracy
0%
Not available
Takedown defense
44%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Andrea KabaliEric Nolan
150015501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (75%)
KO/TKO
5 (56%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (22%)
1 (25%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Eric Nolan73%
Andrea Kabali 27%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Eric Nolan a 73% favorite over Andrea Kabali in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1561 vs 1562), separated by just 1 points.

Andrea Kabali finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Eric Nolan 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.