Andrea Lee vs Antonina Shevchenko
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
13-11-0Record10-4-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'8"
69"Reach67"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Karate MafiaTeamTiger Muay Thai
What's at stake
Antonina Shevchenko is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Andrea Lee carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1596
If they lose-14→ 1564
If they win+14→ 1642
If they lose-18→ 1610
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1637 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1616 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Andrea LeeAntonina Shevchenko
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Antonina Shevchenko63%
Andrea Lee 37%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Antonina Shevchenko a 63% favorite over Andrea Lee in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Antonina Shevchenko holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1628 to 1578, a 50-point edge.
Andrea Lee enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Andrea Lee finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Antonina Shevchenko 40%.
Andrea Lee and Antonina Shevchenko share 1 common opponent: Roxanne Modafferi.
Andrea Lee carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.