Andrea Lee vs Antonina Shevchenko
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-11-0Record10-4-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'8"
69"Reach67"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Karate MafiaTeamTiger Muay Thai
What's at stake
Antonina Shevchenko is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Andrea Lee carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1595
If they lose-14→ 1563
If they win+14→ 1640
If they lose-18→ 1608
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1636 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1611 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Andrea LeeAntonina Shevchenko
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Andrea Lee55%
Antonina Shevchenko 45%Elo baseline: 43%
The Combat Edge model makes Andrea Lee a 55% favorite over Antonina Shevchenko in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Antonina Shevchenko's way (43%).
Antonina Shevchenko holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1626 to 1577, a 49-point edge.
Andrea Lee enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Andrea Lee finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Antonina Shevchenko 40%.
Andrea Lee and Antonina Shevchenko share 1 common opponent: Roxanne Modafferi.
Andrea Lee carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.