Andrea Lee vs Roxanne Modafferi
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-11-0Record25-20-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'6"
69"ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Karate MafiaTeamSyndicate MMA
What's at stake
Andrea Lee is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Roxanne Modafferi carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1593
If they lose-17→ 1561
If they win+13→ 1572
If they lose-11→ 1548
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1637 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1660 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Andrea LeeRoxanne Modafferi
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Andrea Lee57%
Roxanne Modafferi 43%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Andrea Lee a 57% favorite over Roxanne Modafferi in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Andrea Lee holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1578 to 1559, a 19-point edge.
Andrea Lee enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Roxanne Modafferi enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Andrea Lee finishes 62% of wins inside the distance, Roxanne Modafferi 36%.
Andrea Lee and Roxanne Modafferi share 4 common opponents: Maycee Barber, Viviane Araujo, Antonina Shevchenko and Lauren Murphy.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.