Andrei Arlovski vs Philipe Lins
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
34-24-0Record18-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'1"
77"Reach78"
245 lbsWeight205 lbs
American Top TeamTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Philipe Lins is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Andrei Arlovski carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1651
If they lose-10→ 1627
If they win+14→ 1697
If they lose-18→ 1665
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1651 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1665 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Andrei ArlovskiPhilipe Lins
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Philipe Lins83%
Andrei Arlovski 17%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Philipe Lins a 83% favorite over Andrei Arlovski in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Philipe Lins holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1683 to 1637, a 46-point edge.
Andrei Arlovski enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Andrei Arlovski finishes 59% of wins inside the distance, Philipe Lins 72%.
Andrei Arlovski and Philipe Lins share 1 common opponent: Tanner Boser.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.