Angela Hill vs Cortney Casey
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-16-0Record10-10-0
StrawweightDivisionFlyweight
5'3"Height5'6"
64"Reach67"
115 lbsWeight125 lbs
Alliance MMATeamMMA Lab
What's at stake
Angela Hill is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Cortney Casey carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1641
If they lose-14→ 1617
If they win+19→ 1590
If they lose-13→ 1558
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1665 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1596 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Angela HillCortney Casey
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Angela Hill66%
Cortney Casey 34%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Angela Hill a 66% favorite over Cortney Casey in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Angela Hill holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1631 to 1571, a 60-point edge.
Angela Hill finishes 32% of wins inside the distance, Cortney Casey 70%.
Cortney Casey carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.