Angela Hill vs Mackenzie Dern
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-16-0Record17-5-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'3"Height5'4"
64"Reach63"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Alliance MMA· 1633 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamRVCA
What's at stake
Mackenzie Dern is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Angela Hill carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1646
If they lose-9→ 1622
If they win+11→ 1746
If they lose-21→ 1714
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1666 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1691 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Angela HillMackenzie Dern
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mackenzie Dern92%
Angela Hill 8%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Mackenzie Dern a 92% favorite over Angela Hill in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Mackenzie Dern holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1735 to 1631, a 104-point edge.
Mackenzie Dern enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Angela Hill finishes 32% of wins inside the distance, Mackenzie Dern 47%.
Angela Hill and Mackenzie Dern share 1 common opponent: Lupita Godinez.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.