Anthony Smith vs Johnny Walker
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
38-22-0Record22-10-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'5"
76"Reach82"
205 lbsWeight206 lbs
Factory XTeamSBG Ireland
What's at stake
Anthony Smith is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Johnny Walker carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1685
If they lose-13→ 1661
If they win+13→ 1654
If they lose-11→ 1630
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1713 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1720 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Anthony SmithJohnny Walker
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Johnny Walker66%
Anthony Smith 34%Elo baseline: 45%
The Combat Edge model makes Johnny Walker a 66% favorite over Anthony Smith in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Anthony Smith's way (45%).
Anthony Smith holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1674 to 1641, a 33-point edge.
Anthony Smith enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Anthony Smith finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Johnny Walker 91%.
Anthony Smith and Johnny Walker share 4 common opponents: Mingyang Zhang, Dominick Reyes, Ryan Spann and Magomed Ankalaev.
Johnny Walker carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.